Map the decision
We define the recurring decision, who owns it, the constraints that apply and the value at stake.
Engines for the decisions that matter
Your systems already know what happened. Fable Systems tells you what happens next, and what to do about it.
01EvidenceJoin the records held across your systems.02ForecastProject the outcome, its timing and its range.03DecisionRank each permitted action by its expected effect.
The best-paying cargo can be the worst fixture.
Aster prices every open vessel across this voyage and the next, then tells the desk which one to fix.
ZhanjiangLagos01Kittiwake BayOpen at Singapore02Sable CrestOpen at Santos03Ardent TernBerth queue at Qingdao
- Open vessel
- Recommended voyage
- Top-rate alternative
- Berth queue
01Kittiwake Bay, daily rate$1,200 a day below forecast
Counter at forecast$15,100Offer$13,900
$13k$14k$15k$16k
02Sable Crest, net TCE by voyage$72k apart
VoyageNext position
- 01
Kittiwake Bay, SupramaxDecision now
Open at Singapore. Offer $1,200 a day below the forecast rate
- Exposure
- $610kNet TCE
- Expected effect
- +$38k to $61kNet TCE
Counter at $15,100 a dayChartering desk, 4 hours
- 02
Sable Crest, UltramaxAwaiting approval
Open at Santos. The top rate leaves the vessel in a weak market
- Exposure
- $540kNet TCE
- Expected effect
- +$72kIncluding the next position
Fix the cargo to ZhanjiangHead of chartering
- 03
Ardent Tern, PanamaxMonitor
Qingdao berth wait forecast at 6 to 9 days
- Exposure
- $220kDelay and demurrage
- Next step
- Review at 18:00On the new queue forecast
Wait for the revised laycanOperations
- Exposure ranked
- $1.37m
- Net TCE uplift
- $110k to $133k
- Next-position value
- $46k
Horizon. See the range behind the price.
Twenty trading sessions ahead, in seven quantiles. LME copper, aluminium, nickel, zinc, lead and tin, gold, silver and US equities. Outrights, calendar spreads and threshold probabilities.
Three engines. Three decisions too expensive to leave to instinct.
- AsterVoyage chartering and fleet deployment
Fix every open vessel on the cargo, terms and route that earn the most, this voyage and the next.
- FlowElective care capacity and staffing
Plan the list and the staff behind it as one decision: more care completed, less spent on agency cover.
- ReeveProject margin and cash
See the margin you are about to lose, while you can still save it.
And the software that runs the rest of the business.
Reports look back. Decision Engines look ahead.
Business intelligence reports performance to date. A Decision Engine forecasts what happens next, tests each option against your constraints and recommends the action with the best expected result.
| Question | Business intelligence | Decision Engine |
|---|---|---|
| What happens next? | Reports performance to date | Forecasts the financial outcome, its timing and its range |
| What should we do? | Analysts compare options in spreadsheets | Recommends a specific action within your operating constraints |
| Which action comes first? | Prioritisation is left to individual judgement | Ranks feasible actions using cross-system records |
| Did it work? | Activity is reported with no link to the decision behind it | Attributes the financial and operational effect of each action, using machine learning models |
Your records in. One decision out.
Fable Systems starts with the records your business already keeps and delivers each recommendation inside the workflow your team already uses.
Join the systems of record
Fable Systems connects the ERP, CRM, billing, workforce, supply and asset records behind the decision.
Act on the recommendation
Your team receives a specific action, with its evidence, forecast range and expected effect, in the workflow it already uses.
Nothing to rip out.
Fable Systems reads from your ERP, CRM, billing, workforce, supply and asset systems and sends approved actions back through their own controls. Nothing is replaced, and each system stays the authority for its own records.
Systems we connect to- ERP and financeSAP S/4HANA · Oracle Fusion Cloud ERP +6
- CRM and quotingSalesforce Sales Cloud · Salesforce CPQ +2
- Projects and professional servicesOracle NetSuite OpenAir · Deltek +2
- Workforce and HRWorkday · SAP SuccessFactors +2
- Supply chain and warehouseManhattan Associates · Blue Yonder +3
- Procurement and spendCoupa · SAP Ariba
- Data platformsSnowflake · Databricks +3
Decision EngineReads the records behind each decision and returns approved actions to the system that owns them.
- Records read
- Approved actions written back
Product names are trademarks of their owners. Listing them does not imply a partnership or certification.
What buyers ask first.
Answers on pricing, implementation, approvals and hosting.
How is Fable Systems priced?
Decision Engines are priced for each engagement, after a paid opportunity assessment. Horizon and our applications have published prices on the pricing page.
Do we need to replace our systems of record?
No. Fable Systems reads from the ERP, CRM, billing, workforce, supply and operational systems you already run, and sends approved actions back to them.
How long does implementation take?
An opportunity assessment and pilot take a few weeks. Full rollout depends on how many systems are involved and the state of their data, so we plan it once the pilot result is in.
What happens if the pilot does not improve the decision?
We stop or change the scope. Every stage ends with a decision point, and the pilot result against the agreed baseline decides whether we go to production.
Does Fable Systems take actions without approval?
No. Any change to your systems needs a named permission and a person’s approval, and duplicate changes are blocked. Every recommendation, approval and action is recorded.
Where is our data hosted?
A Fable Systems-managed deployment runs in its own AWS account, in the region you choose. For UK clients that is London by default. We can also deploy into your own infrastructure.
Start with the decision that matters most.
A live walkthrough of the software, set up around one of your team’s recurring decisions.