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Decision verification

Each recommendation is stored with its source records, model version, alternatives, constraints and expected effect. The action taken and the observed result are added to the same record.

Work through a live example.

In the Commercial Fleet interactive demo, compare employment alternatives, inspect constraints and change the allocation to see its consequences for contribution and cash.

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The evidence retained for each decision.

Execution

A controlled run uses the same data mapping, models, optimisation and action logic that go into production.

Models

A fixed test compares candidate models with rules-based and statistical baselines before any model can influence a decision.

Source records

Identity, timing, units, authority, freshness and conflicts remain visible as records move between systems.

Actions and value

Every recommendation states the action, expected effect, alternative, outcome window and method used to count value.

Inspect one decision record.

Step through a sample record to see how evidence moves from source records to an approved action and a measured result.

Decision recordReeve
Decision record / 01 of 6Reconstruct the position

The record begins with every system that describes the project, reconciled at the decision cutoff, with identity, timing, units and conflicts kept visible.

Evidence in this stage5 retained items
  • ERP and project accounting
  • PSA and timekeeping
  • Billing, AR and WIP
  • Procurement and supplier cost
  • PMO, contract and forecast history

A model is used only when it improves the decision.

  • Candidate models are tested on records that existed before the outcome and compared with fixed rules-based and statistical baselines.
  • Evaluation covers accuracy, calibration, uncertainty and robustness.
  • Production replays test whether the model changes the selected action or allocation and improves the agreed objective.
  • Permissions, legal requirements and safety constraints always apply.

Four stages of evidence.

  1. 01
    Controlled product run

    Run the complete decision path against a fixed operating history.

  2. 02
    Client calibration

    Map your records, calibrate the models and define where they may be used.

  3. 03
    Production use

    Run the decision with live permissions, constraints, workflow and measurement.

  4. 04
    Financial result

    Compare completed actions and observed outcomes with the agreed baseline and finance records.

What you get at the end of a pilot.

Results come from your data, your people and a baseline your finance team signs off.

  1. 01

    The agreed baseline and measurement window, and how both were set before the pilot began.

  2. 02

    Every recommendation, the decision taken and the action completed, with the options considered.

  3. 03

    The outcomes of completed actions, compared with the baseline.

  4. 04

    The measured uplift, reconciled with your finance records.

  5. 05

    A recommendation to go to production, change the scope or stop.

How Fable is priced

Review the complete decision record.

We will show the evidence available at the cutoff, the forecast, the rejected alternatives and the method for measuring the selected action.

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